Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/1942/15414
Title: | Factors affecting Bluetongue serotype 8 spread in Northern Europe in 2006: The geographical epidemiology | Authors: | FAES, Christel van der Stede, Yves Guis, Helene Staubach, Christoph Ducheyne, Els Hendrickx, Guy Mintiens, Koen |
Issue Date: | 2013 | Publisher: | ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV | Source: | PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE, 110 (2), p. 149-158 | Abstract: | In 2006, Bluetongue serotype 8 was notified for the first time in north-western Europe, more specifically in Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxemburg, Germany and France. The disease spread very rapidly, affecting mainly cattle and sheep farms. In this paper, we examined risk factors affecting the spatial incidence of reported Bluetongue events during the first outbreak in 2006. Previous studies suggested that the Bluetongue incidence was enhanced by environmental factors, such as temperature and wind speed and direction, as well as by human interventions, such as the transport of animals. In contrast to the previous studies, which were based on univariable analyses, a multivariable epidemiological analysis describing the spatial relationship between Bluetongue incidence and possible risk factors is proposed in this paper. This disentangles the complex interplay between different risk factors. Our model shows that wind is the most important factor affecting the incidence of the disease. In addition, areas with high precipitation are slightly more sensitive to the spread of the infection via the wind. Another important risk factor is the land cover; high-risk areas for infection being characterized by a fragmentation of the land cover, especially the combination of forests and urban areas. Precipitation and temperature are also significant risk factors. High precipitation in areas with a large coverage of forests and/or pasture increases the risk whereas high temperature increases the risk considerably in municipalities covered mainly with pasture. Local spread via the vector is strongest in areas with a large coverage of forests and smallest in highly urbanized areas. Finally, the transport of animals from infected areas is a risk factor. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. | Notes: | Hasselt Univ, Interuniv Inst Biostat & Stat Bioinformat I BIOST, B-3590 Diepenbeek, Belgium. Vet & Agrochem Res Ctr, Brussels, Belgium. UMR CMAEE, CIRAD, F-34398 Montpellier, France. Friedrich Loeffler Inst, Wusterhausen, Germany. Avia GIS, Zoersel, Belgium. Vose Consulting, Ghent, Belgium. | Keywords: | Bluetongue disease; Geographical; Risk factor; Infectious disease; Cattle and sheep farms;Veterinary Sciences | Document URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/1942/15414 | ISSN: | 0167-5877 | e-ISSN: | 1873-1716 | DOI: | 10.1016/j.prevetmed2012.11.026 | ISI #: | 000319176900007 | Category: | A1 | Type: | Journal Contribution | Validations: | ecoom 2014 |
Appears in Collections: | Research publications |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
---|---|---|---|---|
faes 1.pdf Restricted Access | Published version | 3.08 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open Request a copy |
WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations
19
checked on Oct 14, 2024
Page view(s)
64
checked on Sep 7, 2022
Download(s)
54
checked on Sep 7, 2022
Google ScholarTM
Check
Altmetric
Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.