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Title: | Managing African Swine Fever: Assessing the Potential of Camera Traps in Monitoring Wild Boar Occupancy Trends in Infected and Non-infected Zones, Using Spatio-Temporal Statistical Models | Authors: | BOLLEN, Martijn NEYENS, Thomas FAJGENBLAT, Maxime DE WAELE, Valérie LICOPPE, Alain MANET, Benoît CASAER, Jim BEENAERTS, Natalie |
Issue Date: | 2021 | Publisher: | Frontiers Media S.A. | Source: | Frontiers in veterinary science, 8 (1175) (Art N° 726117) | Abstract: | The recent spreading of African swine fever (ASF) over the Eurasian continent has been acknowledged as a serious economic threat for the pork industry. Consequently, an extensive body of research focuses on the epidemiology and control of ASF. Nevertheless, little information is available on the combined effect of ASF and ASF-related control measures on wild boar (Sus scrofa) population abundances. This is crucial information given the role of the remaining wild boar that act as an important reservoir of the disease. Given the high potential of camera traps as a non-invasive method for ungulate trend estimation, we assess the effectiveness of ASF control measures using a camera trap network. In this study, we focus on a major ASF outbreak in 2018-2020 in the South of Belgium. This outbreak elicited a strong management response, both in terms of fencing off a large infected zone as well as an intensive culling regime. We apply a Bayesian multi-season site-occupancy model to wild boar detection/non-detection data. Our results show that (1) occupancy rates at the onset of our monitoring period reflect the ASF infection status; (2) ASF-induced mortality and culling efforts jointly lead to decreased occupancy over time; and (3) the estimated mean total extinction rate ranges between 22.44 and 91.35%, depending on the ASF infection status. Together, these results confirm the effectiveness of ASF control measures implemented in Wallonia (Belgium), which has regained its disease-free status in December 2020, as well as the usefulness of a camera trap network to monitor these effects. | Keywords: | African swine fever;camera traps;occupancy;spatio-temporal;Bayesian inference;Stan | Document URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/1942/35548 | e-ISSN: | 2297-1769 | DOI: | 10.3389/fvets.2021.726117 | ISI #: | 000713226000001 | Datasets of the publication: | https://figshare.com/projects/African_Swine_Fever_Monitoring/115092 | Rights: | This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. | Category: | A1 | Type: | Journal Contribution | Validations: | ecoom 2022 |
Appears in Collections: | Research publications |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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fvets-08-726117.pdf | Published version | 1.65 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
Data_Sheet_1_Managing African Swine Fever_ Assessing the Potential of Camera Traps in Monitoring Wild Boar Occupancy Trends in Infected and Non-infect.docx | Supplementary material | 1.75 MB | Microsoft Word | View/Open |
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