Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/1942/37332
Title: | Impact of Short-Term Exposure to Extreme Temperatures on Mortality: A Multi-City Study in Belgium | Authors: | Demoury, Claire AERTS, Raf VANDENINDEN, Bram Van Schaeybroeck, Bert De Clercq, Eva M. |
Issue Date: | 2022 | Publisher: | MDPI | Source: | International journal of environmental research and public health (Print), 19 (7) (Art N° 3763) | Abstract: | In light of climate change, health risks are expected to be exacerbated by more frequent high temperatures and reduced by less frequent cold extremes. To assess the impact of different climate change scenarios, it is necessary to describe the current effects of temperature on health. A time-stratified case-crossover design fitted with conditional quasi-Poisson regressions and distributed lag non-linear models was applied to estimate specific temperature-mortality associations in nine urban agglomerations in Belgium, and a random-effect meta-analysis was conducted to pool the estimates. Based on 307,859 all-cause natural deaths, the mortality risk associated to low temperature was 1.32 (95% CI: 1.21-1.44) and 1.21 (95% CI: 1.08-1.36) for high temperature relative to the minimum mortality temperature (23.1 degrees C). Both cold and heat were associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular and respiratory mortality. We observed differences in risk by age category, and women were more vulnerable to heat than men. People living in the most built-up municipalities were at higher risk for heat. Air pollutants did not have a confounding effect. Evidence from this study helps to identify specific populations at risk and is important for current and future public health interventions and prevention strategies. | Notes: | Demoury, C (corresponding author), Sciensano, Risk & Hlth Impact Assessment, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium. daire.demoury@sciensano.be; raf.aerts@sciensano.be; bram.vandeninden@sciensano.be; bertvs@meteo.be; eva.declercq@sciensano.be |
Keywords: | climate change;temperature;cause-specific mortality;case-crossover;DLNM;vulnerability;Belgium | Document URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/1942/37332 | ISSN: | 1661-7827 | e-ISSN: | 1660-4601 | DOI: | 10.3390/ijerph19073763 35409447 |
ISI #: | WOS:000781392600001 | Rights: | © 2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). | Category: | A1 | Type: | Journal Contribution | Validations: | ecoom 2023 |
Appears in Collections: | Research publications |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Impact of Short-Term Exposure to Extreme Temperatures on Mortality_ A Multi-City Study in Belgium.pdf | Published version | 2.06 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.