Analyzing Potential Impacts of Motorcycle Travel Demand Management Using an Activity-Based Travel Demand Model for Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

Abstract

This paper analyses the potential impacts of motorcycle travel demand management strategies for Ho Chi Minh city, a motorcycle dominant city of Vietnam. Four scenarios on managing the use of motorcycle are analyzed using an activity-based travel demand model called FEATHERS-HCMC. The model is adapted from the FEATHERS model developed for Flanders, Belgium and based on the household travel survey in Ho Chi Minh City. The modeling framework of FEATHERS-HCMC is a combination of the heuristic rules and the econometric models. The simulation results suggest that a strong enforcement on motorcycle use would significantly reduce motorcycle trips and induce the rearrangement of location and time-of-day for daily activities. These results provide empirical evidence that shows several advantages of using activity-based travel demand models comparing to the current four-step models. FEATHERS-HCMC is a promising tool to support decision-making process for assessing sustainable transportation policies, not only for HCMC but for other regions with similar characteristics. Abstract This paper analyses the potential impacts of motorcycle travel demand management strategies for Ho Chi Minh city, a motorcycle dominant city of Vietnam. Four scenarios on managing the use of motorcycle are analyzed using an activity-based travel demand model called FEATHERS-HCMC. The model is adapted from the FEATHERS model developed for Flanders, Belgium and based on the household travel survey in Ho Chi Minh City. The modeling framework of FEATHERS-HCMC is a combination of the heuristic rules and the econometric models. The simulation results suggest that a strong enforcement on motorcycle use would significantly reduce motorcycle trips and induce the rearrangement of location and time-of-day for daily activities. These results provide empirical evidence that shows several advantages of using activity-based travel demand models comparing to the current four-step models. FEATHERS-HCMC is a promising tool to support decision-making process for assessing sustainable transportation policies, not only for HCMC but for other regions with similar characteristics.