A Methodological Approach for Enriching Activity-Travel Schedules with In-Home Activities

Abstract

In-home activities are inevitably important parts of individuals' daily schedules, as people spend more time working and doing various other activities (e.g., online shopping or banking) at home. However, conventional activity-based travel demand models (ABMs) only consider travel and travel-related out-of-home activities, ignoring the interaction between in-home and out-of-home activities. To fill in this gap and increase the understanding of what people do at home and how in-home and out-of-home activities affect each other, a new method is proposed in this study. The approach predicts the types and durations of in-home activities of daily schedules generated by ABMs. In model building, statistical methods such as multinomial logit, log-linear regression, and activity sequential information are utilized, while in calibration, the Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation (SPSA) method is employed. The proposed method was tested using training data and by applying the approach to the schedules of 6.3 million people in the Flemish region of Belgium generated by a representative ABM. Based on the statistical methods, the mean absolute errors were 0.36 and 0.21 for predicting the number and sum of the durations of in-home activities (over all types) per schedule, respectively. The prediction obtained a 10% and 8% improvement using sequential information. After calibration, an additional 60% and 68% were gained regarding activity participation rates and time spent per day. The experimental results demonstrate the potential and practical ability of the proposed method for the incorporation of in-home activities in activity-travel schedules, contributing towards the extension of ABMs to a wide range of applications that are associated with individuals' in-home activities (e.g., the appropriate evaluation of energy consumption and carbon emission estimation as well as sustainable policy designs for telecommuting).